Thursday, April 19, 2012

NBA Premium Play 04/18: Los Angeles Clippers @ Denver Nuggets


NBA - 719 Los Angeles Clippers @ 720 Denver Nuggets

Projected line: pk line

The Clippers are playing the best basketball in the West right now, besides the Spurs. The team with Mo Williams back has now good continuity in the 2nd unit, something that they missed in the last weeks. Their defense has been also improving with Kenyon Martin. CP3 has been superb down the stretch and the Clippers will have in here an edge over the probable lineup of the Nuggets down the stretch. Coach Karl has been using a small lineup down the stretch, with Miller-Lawson-Afflalo-Brewer-Harrington and none of these players will be able to stop CP3, while the Nuggets will be completely exposed in the boards battle. Maybe because of that Denver was outrebounded in 8 of their last 9 games, with Golden State the only team who couldn't outrebound Denver. 

The team from LA has also been playing good transition defense and with this game having a playoff feeling, the pace will be slower and on half court, the Clippers will have a clear edge over Denver. The head to head is at 2-1 in favor of the Clippers and in all games the pace was slow with 90.8, 88 and 89! The Clippers are playing better than Denver right now and therefore, I'll take them in here in an important game for both teams.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 719 Los Angeles Clippers (+3) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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