Wednesday, April 18, 2012

NBA Premium Play 04/17: Indiana Pacers @ Philadelphia 76ers


NBA - 501 Indiana Pacers @ 502 Philadelphia 76ers

Projected line: pk line

Philadelphia looks to be in panic right now and their coach is no exception by inventing lineups and more lineups, having completely lost the correct coordination in the team's rotation. They had to play their game at Orlando last night like a true playoff game by using just 8 players. On a back-to-back-to-back on the schedule, coach Collins removed Vucevic from the rotation and used just 8 players last night, refusing to give rest to his starters and therefore, the short-handed Magic didn't have to deal with fresh legs at any point of the game, allowing Orlando to pound them down low, even without Howard on court! Orlando had an offensive rebound rate edge of 28.6 vs 18.5, while shooting 21-30 FG at the rim! Anderson with 8-10 FG and Orton with 3-3 FG dominated the Sixers frontcourt so much that not even a good offensive game by Philadelphia with good ball movement, a low number of turnovers and excellent outside shooting allowed Philadelphia to be competitive on this game.

On the other hand, Indiana's spot may be tough for today, as they will play their 4th game in 5 days and with this game also being a back to back game, however they had an easy win over Minnesota last night, with a good mindset early on. The Pacers will have a super edge on the frontcourt against the Sixers, even though I doubt coach Collins will repeat the same small lineup from last night today. However, Indiana will have a rebounding and toughness edge over Philadelphia in here and they are also much more confident than the struggling Sixers right now. Therefore, I expect Indiana to be highly competitive in this game and if I had to set a favorite team for this game, I would most likely pick the Pacers. I'll be taking Indiana tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501 Indiana Pacers (+3,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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