Tuesday, April 17, 2012

NBA Premium Play 04/16: San Antonio Spurs @ Golden State Warriors


NBA - 719 San Antonio Spurs @ 720 Golden State Warriors

Projected line: 213 points | San Antonio by 15 points

Golden State continues with their bad defense and playing with an undersized lineup. In their last game, the Clippers did what they wanted to do on offense with 54.3% FG, 10-22 3pts, 24-40 FG from 9-feet or closer to the basket, everything easy excluding their terrible FT shooting, where they shot 14-30 FT! The Warriors have been allowing their opponents to shoot more than 65% FG at the rim, more than 45% FG from 16-23 feet and 40% 3pts in their last 5 games! Offensively, they keep trying 3pts and fortunately for them, they had a big game against the Clippers with 15-31 3pts!

Tonight against the Spurs, they will get crushed on a shootout against San Antonio's huge edge in depth. San Antonio has the best offense of the league and with their depth against such a poor defense, they won't have problems in having a huge offensive game today. Golden State has been allowing their opponents to have an average offensive rate of 122.3 in their last 5 games and so, I expect San Antonio to blowout the Warriors today in an offensive-oriented game. Therefore, I'll take both San Antonio and the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 719/720 Over 209 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 719 San Antonio Spurs (-10,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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