Thursday, April 19, 2012

NBA Premium Play 04/18: Philadelphia 76ers @ Cleveland Cavaliers


NBA - 705 Philadelphia 76ers @ 706 Cleveland Cavaliers

Projected line: 177 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Philadelphia is coming from a loss last night against Indiana, where their perimeter rotations were particularly slow and sluggish, mostly thanks to the big effort that they had against Orlando, where they used just 8 players in the rotations. Today on a back to back to back spot, the Sixers will definitely be quite tired and lacking confidence. The only good news for them is that they will face the lowly Cavs and Philadelphia won't have problems in stopping the Cavs offense.

Clevrland has no inside game and yesterday in their blowout loss against Detroit, they shot just 11-27 FG at the rim and their whole offensive game is perimeter based, therefore the Sixers won't have problems in stopping them. Cleveland was 50-100 down against Detroit yesterday and all players and their coach talked about lack of effort at the end of the game, so I expect them to show some pride and play with more effort. Detroit scored 25 fast break points and shot 13-16 FG in transition against them, while having a red hot game from the outside. 

I expect Philadelphia's good perimeter defense to completely shutdown the Cavs offense, while the Sixers' poor spot and Cleveland's bigger effort today will prevent the Sixers to have a huge offensive game as well. Therefore, I expect this game to have very little quality on the offensive end and so, I'll be taking the Under in here in a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 705/706 Under 185 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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