Thursday, April 26, 2012

NBA Premium Play 04/25: Charlotte Bobcats @ Orlando Magic


NBA - 505 Charlotte Bobcats @ 506 Orlando Magic

Projected line: 182 points

I expect this game to be a low scoring affair. Even though the Bobcats are an overall horrible defensive team, the two areas where they struggle the most are on transitions and at the rim, two areas where Orlando really can't perform well right now. Besides that, Orlando has been playing at a really slow pace, with an average pace of 86.1 on their last 5 games. This resulted in a small number of fast break points both scored and allowed by Orlando in those games and a similar thing should happen today on this contest. 

The Magic have pretty much their #6 seed locked up and so, they won't use their starters for a lot of time today. With some of their key players also missing this game due to injury and with players that aren't normally part of the rotation having big minutes today, I believe this game against the Bobcats will turn into a very ugly one very quickly. As Charlotte can't score right now against anyone (91.52 offensive rates vs Sacramento!!!) and with Orlando rotating their players big time today, I believe this game will have a big number of minutes with horrible offense being played and therefore, I'll take the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 505/506 Under 186 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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