NFL Week 12 - 215 San Diego Chargers @ 216 Kansas City Chiefs
Play #1
Kansas City is on a letdown spot in here on this sandwich game between their two very important games against Denver. Therefore, I expect them to struggle today and that will happen on defense, as San Diego's passing game has been decent lately with 73.00%, 25.00%, 23.20% and 54.40% DVOA on their last four games. On the other hand, the Chiefs will face the worst pass defense in the league and so, I believe that they will score a considerable numbers of points in here as well. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 215/216 Over 44 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
NFL Week 12 - 211 Jacksonville Jaguars @ 212 Houston Texans
Play #2
The last three games of both teams went over the total posted, but I believe things will be different today. Both teams are being very poor on pass defense this season, but the truth is that neither team has the passing game to actually explore the defensive weaknesses of their opponent today. It's also possible that they will run the football quite a lot today and in that context, both teams are decent run defensive teams. Therefore, I expect this game to be a boring, low scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 211/212 Under 44 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
NFL Week 12 - 219 Pittsburgh Steelers @ 220 Cleveland Browns
Play #3
Pittsburgh's offense saw their running game regress once again last week against Detroit, while their passing game will face a Browns secondary led by Joe Haden and Buster Skrine that will be a very tough opponent for them today, especially on such tough weather. The Browns are coming from a loss against Cincinnati due to a bunch of big special teams plays from the Bengals and I expect them to bounce back defensively today. Things will be much tougher on offense for them, as both their passing and running game continue to be subpar and Pittsburgh's defense continues being a tough opponent. Therefore, I expect a low scoring game in here and I'll be taking the Under.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 219/220 Under 40 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NFL Week 12 - 221 Chicago Bears @ 222 St Louis Rams
Play #4
St Louis has been playing well, as they had a positive DVOA on four of their last five games. This is a very favorable spot for the Rams, as they are coming from a bye week, while the Bears are coming from a super tough overtime home win against Baltimore, on a game that was interrupted for several hours due to some terrible weather. St Louis's defense has been brilliant lately and they will take advantage of Jay Cutler's absence and some injuries on the Bears' defense to at least make this game a very close one.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 222 St Louis Rams (-1) @ -120 / 1.83 on 5Dimes
NFL Week 12 - 227 Indianapolis Colts @ 228 Arizona Cardinals
Play #5
I think the Colts are being overrated in here. With Reggie Wayne gone for the season, the remaining WR's are forced to make big plays and they aren't being able to do that. Now against a Cardinals' elite defense led in the secondary by Patrick Peterson, things won't be easy for them and Luck will have very few options to turn to today. On the other hand, the Colts' running game continues to struggle and they'll face the second best run defense in the Cardinals. Arizona's offense isn't great, but it's good enough to score some points especially at home and they are fighting for a wild card spot, while the Colts have a 4-game lead on their division after beating the Titans and they'll face Tennessee next week on an important game to secure once and for all their division and a playoff berth. Therefore, I believe Arizona has the matchup and the spot edge for today and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 228 Arizona Cardinals (-3) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bookmaker
NFL Week 12 - 209 Tampa Bay Bucanneers @ 210 Detroit Lions
NFL Week 12 - 213 Minnesota Vikings @ 214 Green Bay Packers
Play #6
***2-way 7pts Teaser***
Tampa Bay has won their last two games and they were really good on their last three DVOA-wise, with +30.3% against Seattle, +11.2% against Miami and +39.6% against Atlanta! Their new QB Mike Glennon is playing very well and against a poor Lions' pass defense, I expect him to lead his team to score some points today. On the other hand, the match up between Darrelle Revis and Calvin Johnson promises to be great and to cause some issues to Detroit's offense. I believe Tampa Bay is now playing with confidence and that they will keep the score of this game respectable at least.
Green Bay is motivated to win today, as they are still fighting for a playoff berth, even though they are playing without Aaron Rodgers. On the other hand, Minnesota is 2-8 and they are thinking more about next year's draft than the current season. The only area where the Packers have injury problems on defense right now is at the CB position, but then Minnesota's passing game has been so poor this season that they won't take advantage of that. Green Bay actually had a decent offensive game against the Giants last week and so, I expect them to produce enough offense against the Vikings' poor pass defense to get the win in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 209 Tampa Bay Buccanneers (+14) x 214 Green Bay Packers (+2) @ -130 / 1.77 on Betonline
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