Play #1
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
Toronto played and lost last night at Indiana on a game where the Raptors took advantage of a poor first quarter of Indiana's defense to score some nice points, while they struggled during the rest of the game. David West was in foul trouble in the first half, Rudy Gay made almost all of his contested shots (9-13 FG and 22 points on the first half), while Toronto impressed once again on rebounds, where they won the boards battle by grabbing 56.5% of the rebounds! However, the Raptors started the second half with Aaron Gray, Tyson Hansbrough and D.J. Augustin together on the court and that was a disaster for their offense. Indiana recovered and eventually crushed Toronto. Rudy Gay stopped making his contested shots (3-13 FG), while the Raptors continued having a poor ball movement with just 16 assists the whole game. With no offensive flow, the Raptors' offense couldn't do a thing on the second half against Indiana's elite defense.
Toronto played and lost last night at Indiana on a game where the Raptors took advantage of a poor first quarter of Indiana's defense to score some nice points, while they struggled during the rest of the game. David West was in foul trouble in the first half, Rudy Gay made almost all of his contested shots (9-13 FG and 22 points on the first half), while Toronto impressed once again on rebounds, where they won the boards battle by grabbing 56.5% of the rebounds! However, the Raptors started the second half with Aaron Gray, Tyson Hansbrough and D.J. Augustin together on the court and that was a disaster for their offense. Indiana recovered and eventually crushed Toronto. Rudy Gay stopped making his contested shots (3-13 FG), while the Raptors continued having a poor ball movement with just 16 assists the whole game. With no offensive flow, the Raptors' offense couldn't do a thing on the second half against Indiana's elite defense.
Utah had the expected problems on offense at Chicago last night. Of course every team is going to pack the paint against Utah's offense that can't make a trey and when the Jazz's opponents are really good at that, Utah's offense struggles badly. They ended the game with just 10-25 FG near the basket and 1-7 FG from 4-9 feet! With no post up game working, Utah's perimeter lacks the talent to carry the team's offense, but they actually had a decent 7-20 (35%) 3pts shooting last night! But of course, with little flow on offense and no transition game, the Jazz can't score.
Onto tonight's game. Both games are on a poor spot in here, as they will play their fourth game in five nights and both had to travel to Toronto after their last night's games. Utah's style will be the usual for tonight and so, they will have problems on offense. Toronto is one of the best defensive rebounding teams in the league (#2 with 79.0%), their transition defense has been good as well with just 10.3 fast break points allowed per game and with a big lineup formed by Jonas Valanciunas and Amir Johnson, they will be a tough matchup for Utah to create shots down low, especially knowing how predictable Utah's offense really is. However, Toronto's offense will also struggle as usual, as Rudy Gay and DeMar DeRozan continue to shoot too many contested shots. Utah is a good defensive rebounding team as well and they will limit Toronto's second chance points in here. The Jazz's problem with turnovers won't be also explored by the Raptors tonight, as Toronto doesn't have an aggressive defense. Therefore, we have all the right ingredients for a very low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under on this game on a Double Dime Play!
Orlando's offense struggled a lot against Boston's defense last night. The key factor for that was the good defensive pressure that Boston put on the opposing ball handler and that forced Orlando to commit 20 turnovers, a season high for them! Orlando's coach Jacque Vaughn credited Avery Bradley for disrupting Orlando's offense so well last night:
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 701/702 Under 188 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada
NBA - 703 Orlando Magic @ 704 Atlanta Hawks
Play #2
Orlando's offense struggled a lot against Boston's defense last night. The key factor for that was the good defensive pressure that Boston put on the opposing ball handler and that forced Orlando to commit 20 turnovers, a season high for them! Orlando's coach Jacque Vaughn credited Avery Bradley for disrupting Orlando's offense so well last night:
"They have a pretty good defender in Avery Bradley who can extend the defense some and pressure the basketball." Jacque Vaughn said. "A couple of times he was able to get into us and disrupt us a little bit."
The Magic have been so far on this season a pure jump shooting team, but they shot 4-20 3pts and committed 20 turnovers last night, so they struggled and scored just 89 points. After a nice start of the season, it seems like the Magic's offense is now regressing with 5-16 and 4-20 3pts on their last two games. Avery Bradley once again proved that he is a nightmare matchup for Jameer Nelson, who had just 4-15 FG and 7 turnovers yesterday! I believe that Orlando's offense will have a better matchup tonight, as Atlanta's backcourt won't put as much pressure on Orlando's backcourt. However, I don't expect that to be enough for the Magic to make this game competitive.
Atlanta is returning home after a tough road trip where they played at LA against the Lakers, at Sacramento and at Denver. Their offense was super sharp during the whole trip, with an excellent ball movement and with solid all around numbers. The key for that is of course Al Horford and Paul Millsap! I believe that these two players will have a mega edge against Orlando's poor interior defense tonight. The Magic's defense has been able to limit their opponents at the paint (#5 with 37 points in the paint allowed per game), but both Horford and Millsap don't play near the basket. They are super versatile on shooting from mid-range and this will crush Orlando's defensive formation. I expect a comfortable win for the Hawks tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.
The Nets' problem was once again their poor perimeter play. They allowed Washington to shoot 10-24 3pts and they lacked the speed to limit the Wizards' transition game that scored 22 fast break points on 9-16 FG. The biggest surprise was Kevin Garnett's poor performance, who seemed lost on defense, while getting completely outplayed by Nene! Indiana's perimeter is very athletic and so, I expect the Pacers' backcourt to use that to get the edge over Brooklyn's slow footed backcourt.
However, Indiana's offense is still inconsistent especially with their second unit on the court, even though it's not as bad as it was last season. Brooklyn's interior defense will also cause problems to the Pacers' interior game and so, the key will be on the perimeter battle, where Indiana has the edge right now. I expect a low scoring game with Indiana winning it down the stretch and so, I'll be taking both the Pacers and the Under in here.
The Magic have been so far on this season a pure jump shooting team, but they shot 4-20 3pts and committed 20 turnovers last night, so they struggled and scored just 89 points. After a nice start of the season, it seems like the Magic's offense is now regressing with 5-16 and 4-20 3pts on their last two games. Avery Bradley once again proved that he is a nightmare matchup for Jameer Nelson, who had just 4-15 FG and 7 turnovers yesterday! I believe that Orlando's offense will have a better matchup tonight, as Atlanta's backcourt won't put as much pressure on Orlando's backcourt. However, I don't expect that to be enough for the Magic to make this game competitive.
Atlanta is returning home after a tough road trip where they played at LA against the Lakers, at Sacramento and at Denver. Their offense was super sharp during the whole trip, with an excellent ball movement and with solid all around numbers. The key for that is of course Al Horford and Paul Millsap! I believe that these two players will have a mega edge against Orlando's poor interior defense tonight. The Magic's defense has been able to limit their opponents at the paint (#5 with 37 points in the paint allowed per game), but both Horford and Millsap don't play near the basket. They are super versatile on shooting from mid-range and this will crush Orlando's defensive formation. I expect a comfortable win for the Hawks tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 704 Atlanta Hawks (-6,5) @ -105 / 1.95 on Betonline
NBA - 705 Indiana Pacers @ 706 Brooklyn Nets
Plays #3 & 4
Brooklyn had a weird loss last night at Washington, where they were up by 9 points with just 3 minutes to go on regulation. As expected, Brook Lopez destroyed Washington's frontcourt formed by Nene Hilario and Marcin Gortat, who are still trying to find some chemistry between them, especially on defense. Andray Blatche also took advantage of the Wizards' poor interior defense to have a good game, while Brooklyn dominated the boards battle with a 56% rebound rate. However, tonight against Indiana, things should be different. Roy Hibbert will limit Brook Lopez's offense, while Indiana is a much better rebounding team than Washington!
However, Indiana's offense is still inconsistent especially with their second unit on the court, even though it's not as bad as it was last season. Brooklyn's interior defense will also cause problems to the Pacers' interior game and so, the key will be on the perimeter battle, where Indiana has the edge right now. I expect a low scoring game with Indiana winning it down the stretch and so, I'll be taking both the Pacers and the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 705/706 Under 188 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 705 Indiana Pacers (PK) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA - 713 Golden State Warriors @ 714 Memphis Grizzlies
Play #5
Golden State will play their third game in four days tonight, while this is also a back to back game for them. All these games were on the road (at Philadelphia, Minnesota, San Antonio and now Memphis), so this isn't an easy spot for them at all. Golden State's lack of depth might screw them big time in here, on this letdown spot for them. Andre Iguodala played 42 and 44 minutes on the team's last two games, while David Lee played 36 minutes on each game and Klay Thompson 37 and 39 minutes!
With Stephen Curry injured (even if he plays, he won't be at 100%), I believe that Golden State's offense will struggle tonight, as Tony Allen will be all over Klay Thompson the whole game. Andre Iguodala struggled on leading the team's offense with just 2 assists and 6 turnovers last night and things won't get any easier for him tonight. Then on the frontcourt, David Lee and Andrew Bogut are coming from two tough battles in a row against Nikola Pekovic/Kevin Love and Tim Duncan/Tiago Splitter, just to have another battle against the super physical duo formed by Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph on a poor spot for them!
The Warriors' main problem this season has been the high number of turnovers and they are indeed dead last in the league right now on TO/rate. These are terrible news for them, as they will face a great defensive team like Memphis, who will take advantage of that very well. The Grizzlies are coming from a loss against New Orleans at home, where they lost Zach Randolph at the start of the game to assist his wife on giving birth to their child. Now with Randolph back, I expect to see Memphis's defense taking advantage of their great matchup tonight to bounce back against the Warriors in here. Looking at Golden State's lack of depth and poor spot, I believe Memphis will easily win this game and so, I'll take them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 714 Memphis Grizzlies (-3) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA - 715 Dallas Mavericks @ 716 Milwaukee Bucks
Play #6
This will be the fourth game in five days for Dallas, with their last three games being all on the road. This isn't a good spot for them, but at least Vince Carter is returning tonight after a one-game suspension. The Mavericks' offense is based on a bunch of pick and rolls and transitions and these are the two areas where the Bucks' defense has been struggling big time. Rookie PG Nate Wolters is being forced to play big minutes, while there's a lot of uncertainty on the team's frontcourt that is preventing the team from adjusting to the correct defensive rotations. This will of course favor a lot Dallas's offense tonight that will have a great matchup in here.
On the other hand, the Mavericks' defense has been struggling to defend dribble penetrations, as seen when they had to face players like James Harden, Russell Westbrook and Kevin Martin last night. However, Milwaukee doesn't have this kind of players to make Dallas's defense struggle in here. Gary Neal and O.J. Mayo are spot up shooters and rarely penetrate into the basket. Therefore, I expect Dallas to have a decent defensive performance in here. I believe this is a great matchup for Dallas against a Milwaukee team that has been unable to find the correct rotations on both ends of the floor due to an incredible number of injured players and so, I'll take the Mavs for an easy win tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 715 Dallas Mavericks (-3) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA - 717 Portland Trailblazers @ 718 Sacramento Kings
Play #7
This is a back to back home-home series, as these two teams faced each other last night, with Portland winning at home by 13 points. I took Sacramento yesterday as I expected DeMarcus Cousins to dominate the game and the truth is that it happened, as Cousins had 13-25 FG, 9-10 FT and 35 points! With Cousins dominating, the Blazers had to send extra guys to stop him and that would allow Sacramento's perimeter to have more space to hit the long-range shots. However, the Kings' perimeter was a disaster on their long range shooting last night with 8-22 FG from 16-23 feet and 6-22 3pts! Marcus Thornton and John Salmons shot a combined of 3-17 FG! Even Isiah Thomas only shot 5-15 FG!
I believe things will be different tonight. Sacramento's backcourt will bounce back on their long-range shooting, as they will continue having good space to shoot the ball, as DeMarcus Cousins will get plenty of attention down low. The Kings were crushed on boards yesterday by allowing 11 offensive rebounds, with that being one of the reasons why Sacramento scored just 5 fast break points yesterday. That's a super low number for a team that was averaging 17.25 fast break points per game! They also had a season low 15 FT attempts last night. I believe things will be different tonight with the Kings being more aggressive at home, while also having more opportunities to run in transition as well.
On the other side, Portland's offense had a very solid effort yesterday with six players scoring in double digits and with them having a total of 28 assists! It's easy for Portland to explore Sacramento's poor overall defense and that should happen tonight as well. Damian Lillard shot just 5-13 FG yesterday, but he has a good matchup against the slow footed Greivis Vasquez and therefore, I believe Lillard will bounce back tonight as well. I believe this game will be a great offensive game with both teams scoring a lot of points and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 717/718 Over 198 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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