NBA Free Premium Plays 11/12: Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat

Milwaukee  at Miami

NBA - 501 Milwaukee Bucks @ 502 Miami Heat Plays #1 & 2 Miami is coming from their second ridiculous loss of the season. The first one was understandable as they were on a back to back spot after a physical game against Chicago and Philadelphia was a blind opponent, as they were playing their first game of the season, however things were different with their home loss against Boston. They lost that game on a ridiculous way down the stretch and so, they will come fired up to bounce back from that tonight. "It's simple" Lebron James said as the Heat prepared for Tuesday's home game against the Milwaukee Bucks. "These first seven games, we're playing like s--- defensively. It's that simple. We're not a sugarcoat team. We came in and got right down to it. We're terrible on defense, and we've got to change that." The good news if that Milwaukee's offense is a perfect matchup for Miami to have a much needed defensive bounce back game. One of Miami's main problems has been their poor rebounding, especially on defense, where they allowed 12.5 offensive rebounds per game on their last four games! However, Milwaukee without Larry Sanders and Ersan Ilyasova has been a subpar team on offensive rebounding with just a 22.4% rate, only good enough to be #26 in the league on that stat! On the other side, Milwaukee is coming from a home loss against Dallas, a team that doesn't have a great interior presence, but that wasn't enough against a Milwaukee frontcourt with no offensive skills. Even though the Bucks had a decent outside shooting game with 11-23 (47.8%) 3pts, that wasn't enough for them, as they shot just 13-26 FG at the rim and 3-17 FG from 4-9 feet! This helped Dallas that was on a poor spot and struggled physically during the second half, but still held the lead to get the win at the end, even though they shot just 5-22 FG during the third quarter. With no inside game on offense, the Bucks will shoot almost everything from the outside and so, Miami's ball pressure on defense will put the Bucks in huge trouble today. Milwaukee will struggle in avoiding turnovers tonight and with that, they will see their poor transition defense (#28 in the league) getting exposed a lot tonight. With Larry Sanders out of the game, Milwaukee loses their best rim protector and so, Miami's offense will have a field day that will not only have the edge on the perimeter like also a tons of easy points down low via their good ball movement and Milwaukee's weak rim protection. I believe Miami will pick up an easy blowout win today, while shutting down the Bucks' offense, so I'll be taking both Miami and the Under in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501/502 Under 196,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 502 Miami Heat (-13,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker