NFL Week 11 - 405 New York Jets @ 406 Buffalo Bills
Play #1
Buffalo is being a 50/50 pass/rush kind of team, but with their QB E.J. Manuel hesitating so much on throwing the football and with both Stevie Johnson and Robert Woods, I believe Buffalo's passing game will struggle today. Regarding the Bills' running game, they will be facing the best run defense in the league, so I really believe that Buffalo's offense won't have a good game today.
On the other hand, the Jets' offense may be inconsistent, but they are coming from a bye week, so RB Chris Ivory will be fresh to get some big plays today. I believe that the Jets will shutdown the Bills' offense today, while being productive enough on offense to get the win in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 405 New York Jets (-1,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
Play #2
Pittsburgh is coming from a nice win against Buffalo, while Detroit had a big win at Chicago on a divisional game. The Steelers' recent improvements on offense are happening due to their running game that has improved a lot over the last games. Detroit's pass rush has been poor (#28 in the league with 15 sacks), so I believe that Ben Roethlisberger will have enough game for a nice game today that combined with a positive game from the running game should give Pittsburgh some points today.
On the other hand, Pittsburgh's defense has been subpar all season long, however they will have an edge over Detroit's offense: the weather. The Lions' offense generally takes a lot of risk but in today's game that will be played under a thunderstorm, things will be much tougher for Detroit. Therefore, I believe that Pittsburgh will take advantage of their better spot, their improved offense and the weather to get an important win for them today.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 408 Pittsburgh Steelers (+3) @ +100 / 2.00 on Bovada
NFL Week 11 - 421 Kansas City Chiefs @ 422 Denver Broncos
Play #3
I believe that Denver's defense will have an easy task tonight against Kansas City's offense that will be focused on running the football as much as possible in order to control the clock and keep the ball away from Peyton Manning's hands as much as possible. Then again, the Broncos' run defense has been decent this season and I expect them to limit Jamaal Charles's production tonight.
On the other hand, if there is a team that can limit a bit Denver's offense that team is Kansas City. Peyton Manning is struggling with an ankle injury and the Chiefs are #1 in the league on pass rush and they will put Manning a lot of pressure tonight, especially with his mobility limited. Therefore, I believe this big game will eventually become a relatively low scoring game due to Kansas City's strategy for tonight and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 421/422 Under 49,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada
NFL Week 11 - 423 Minnesota Vikings @ 424 Seattle Seahawks
Play #4
This is a good spot for Minnesota. Seattle is coming from an emotional game at Atlanta and their next game will be against New Orleans. On the other hand, Minnesota is coming from a TNF game at home against Washington last week and they have been playing much better lately.
Seattle's offensive gameplan is close to 50/50 pass/rush and Minnesota may be poor against the pass, but they have been quite again on run defense. On the other side, Seattle is just #14 on run defense, so Adrian Peterson has a decent matchup today to get some big plays. Seattle struggled to beat St Louis and Tampa Bay this season and that was due to a bad job on run defense, so I believe that Minnesota on a good spot will indeed cause some problems to Seattle and get the cover in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 423 Minnesota Vikings (+13) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
NFL Week 11 - 425 San Francisco 49ers @ 426 New Orleans Saints
Play #5
San Francisco's gameplan for today will be simple: run the football as much as possible in order to try to burn the clock. Therefore, expect Frank Gore and the other 49ers' running backs having a bunch of carries today. On the other hand, San Francisco's defense has been good when they need to. They relaxed on defense and allowed some points against Tennessee and Jacksonville, but when they had a tough match like last week against Carolina, their defense was great! Therefore, I believe this game will be a slow paced one, with San Francisco successfully turning this game into a low scoring one due to burning the clock a lot, while playing good defense as well. I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 425/426 Under 50 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
NFL Week 11 - 417 Oakland Raiders @ 418 Houston Texans
NFL Week 11 - 419 Arizona Cardinals @ 420 Jacksonville Jaguars
Play #6
***2-Team 7 pts Teaser***
Oakland's pass offense has been horrible over the last four games, while it's the running game that has been saving them a few times. However, with both Darren McFadden and Terrelle Pryor out for today, I believe that Oakland won't do a thing on offense today, especially with Houston's run defense has been quite decent this season. On the other hand, Case Keenum has been playing well and the truth is that Houston hasn't played badly over their last three games even though they lost all three. Now against Oakland at home, I expect Houston to bounce back and get an easy win.
Jacksonville finally got a win last week, but their offense still couldn't do a thing. The Jaguars simply benefited from Tennessee's laziness to get that win. On the other hand, Arizona has been playing really well this season and the main reason for that has been their excellent defense that will completely shutdown the Jaguars' poor offense today. On the other hand, Carson Palmer should be able to produce enough offense against a poor Jaguars' defense to get another win for his team today.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 418 Houston Texans (-3) x 419 Arizona Cardinals (-2) @ -140 / 1.71 on Bookmaker
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