NFL Free Premium Play 11/10: Carolina Panthers @ San Francisco 49ers

Carolina  at San Francisco

NFL Week 10 - 219 Carolina Panthers @ 220 San Francisco 49ers Play #4 San Francisco is coming from a bye week, after beating Jacksonville in London two weeks ago. On the other hand, Carolina had three games in a row where their pass offense impressed, but they struggled much more on offense against Atlanta last week with a poor -4.30% pass offense DVOA. This was the result of some poor play from Cam Newton, who had 23/37, 249 yards, 6-7 Y/P and 1/2 TD/INT against the Falcons. Curiously, San Francisco has been facing some weak opposition lately, as they faced Houston, Arizona, Tennessee and Jacksonville on their last four games. But the area where both teams have been excellent is on defense. Carolina's DL has been even better than San Francisco's DL with a better run blocking and with 23 sacks over San Francisco's 17. I expect this game to be an ugly one, with a lot of running and with Carolina being indeed competitive. San Francisco's last three games went over the total posted, while Carolina saw the total going over in three of their last four games as well. This was due to the fact that they have been facing lowly teams and they take advantage of that to have good offensive games. That won't happen today and so, I expect both teams' offenses to struggle in here. Both the 49ers and the Panthers are run-oriented teams, with great defenses and with two QB's that are game managers and nice runners as well. Therefore, I expect this game to be a low scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 219/220 Under 43,5 @ -105 / 1.95 on Bovada