NBA Free Premium Play 11/13: Charlotte Bobcats @ Boston Celtics

Charlotte  at Boston

NBA - 705 Charlotte Bobcats @ 706 Boston Celtics Play #1 Boston is coming from four wins in a row, including a win at home against Orlando last Monday, where they shot a league season-high 60% FG! I liked their offensive flow, even though Orlando was indeed a perfect matchup for them. Definitely Jameer Nelson can't do anything in front of Avery Bradley and that turned Orlando into a turnover prone team once again with 20 turnovers that the Celtics used to score 20 fast break points with 13-19 FG on transition plays. Then, Jameer Nelson's poor defensive play doesn't help his team one bit and with that, the Celtics took advantage of Orlando's poor backcourt defense to make some nice cuts that they used to score easy points after easy points. Jordan Crawford with a 10/0 A/TO ratio was the game's highlight! On the other hand, Orlando's offense didn't play badly and they managed to get good shots in the perimeter, as Boston's defense is focused in packing the paint. However, the Celtics eventually won the game without much trouble due to a massive offensive performance. Charlotte is coming from a home loss against Atlanta last Monday, where they gave the Hawks a good fight, especially during the first half, where they were impressive on offense mostly thanks to Josh McRoberts's great game in passing the ball. Al Jefferson returned to the lineup, but he didn't have an impact in the game. However, Charlotte still managed to have a decent offensive game due to the creation of good mid range shooting opportunities. Kemba Walker and Ramon Sessions shot a combined of 7-21 FG in a poor performance and the Bobcats aren't going to win a lot of games with their two PG's shooting so poorly. Atlanta had Jeff Teague on early foul trouble, something that conditioned the team's offensive performance during the first half. Then, on the third quarter, Atlanta made a huge run led by Jeff Teague who attacked the Bobcats with off dribble penetrations to find the open team mate on the down low. This is why Teague ended the game with 12 assists in just 31 minutes. Al Horford was also impressive during that quarter with 13 points scored. Charlotte's offense may be decent with Josh McRoberts and Al Jefferson, but the team's offense needs Kemba Walker and Ramon Sessions to shoot reasonably as well and they couldn't do it on this game. Onto this matchup. I believe the current totals line of 192.5 points isn't taking in consideration the development of both teams' offenses lately. Since Boston inserted Jordan Crawford into the starting lineup at the PG position, sending Avery Bradley into the SG position, their offense improved a lot. The consequence of that was four wins in a row after a 0-4 start of the season! The Celtics had an A/TO ratio of 57/84 on their first four games of the season, but then with the changes on the lineup, they had a 93/55 A/TO ratio on their last four games! Rookie Center Kelly Olynyk is now starting instead of Vitor Faverani and this gave the Celtics a boost on offense as well, as not only Olynyk has a nice shooting range, as he also has a good court vision. This is why he had 5 assists against Orlando last Monday! The way Boston attacks the rim on offense to pass the ball into the open team mate will cause a lot of problems to Charlotte's defense, as seen during the third quarter of their game against Atlanta last Monday. On the other hand, with Al Jefferson back into the starting lineup, Charlotte's backcourt will have more space to shoot the ball on offense. They struggled against Atlanta on this area with just 5-20 FG from 16-23 feet, but I believe that they will bounce back in here. Boston's inside defense with Brandon Bass and Kelly Olynyk is quite weak as well and so, I believe Charlotte will see their guards having a decent game in here, after a disappointing performance on the team's last game. I believe this will be a high scoring affair and therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 705/706 Over 192,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline