NBA Free Premium Play 11/29: Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors

Miami  at Toronto

NBA - 505 Miami Heat @ 506 Toronto Raptors Play #3 Toronto is coming from a home loss against the Nets, even though this was their third good offensive game in a row, with an offensive rating higher than 110! However, these three good performances were against Philadelphia, Washington and Brooklyn. Their pick and rolls worked well on these games, but then again they will now face Miami who is an elite team on pick and roll defense. The Raptors will have a good edge on rebounding where they are #1 in the league and Miami is a subpar team on this area due to their undersized lineup. However, this will be Toronto's only edge tonight, as Miami's overall defense has been great lately by averaging a defensive rating of 97.8 over their last six games! "Our defense has been better, certainly much better from those first few games of the season," coach Erik Spoelstra said. "Not only the activity, but the focus and commitment -- finishing plays, even on the glass, the way we started the season is not the type of habit we want to create. We know we're going to have to continue to try to get better, there's thing we can clean up. But the guys have been engaged and we're using our depth and the guys are playing hard." On the other hand, Toronto's defense has been great in preventing fast breaks and in making good close outs, as they are #7 in the league on 3pts defense with 33.7% 3pts allowed. Toronto had a relaxed attitude on defense against Brooklyn on their last game and they lost the game because of that. They will certainly show a better attitude on defense tonight. I expect a slow paced game tonight, as Miami doesn't play fast and Toronto has the size edge in here, so they'll try to play it slow to try to clearly outrebound Miami tonight. On a slow paced game and with both teams showing good defense lately (barring Toronto's last game), I believe this game will actually be a low scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 505/506 Under 198 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker