Saturday, November 23, 2013

NBA Free Premium Play 11/23: Portland Trailblazers @ Golden State Warriors

  
Portland  at Golden State 
NBA - 719 Portland Trailblazers @ 720 Golden State Warriors

Plays #8 & 9


***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***


The Warriors are struggling due to their lack of depth and Mark Jackson isn't helping his team by not trusting his bench at all. Thanks to that, the Warriors' starters are being forced to play a lot of minutes and last night at LA against the Lakers on an uptempo game, three of the Warriors' starters played 40 or more minutes and they weren't four playing a lot because Andre Iguodala got injured mid-game. Their fatigue was notorious on their inability to score near the basket with 18-37 (48.6%) FG against a poor Lakers interior defense Golden State will play their third game in four days, with this game being also a back to back game for them!

On the other hand, Portland isn't also on a good spot. They had a poor spot last night on their first home game after a road trip and Chicago gave them a good fight. However, the Blazers managed to get a comeback win due to their starting lineup where every player was on the court for at least 35 minutes. We are then in front of two jump shooting teams tonight with heavy legs right now, a clear problem for both offenses! However, I believe the Warriors are on an even worse position for tonight, as Portland has more options on the bench and their defense is programmed to defend 3pts shots. In fact, the Blazers led the league in 3pts defense with just 29.5% 3pts allowed! Therefore, I expect this game to be a low scoring 50/50 one and so, I'll be taking Portland on a Single Dime Play and the Under on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 719/720 Under 198 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 719 Portland Trailblazers (+3,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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