Projected Line: Tulsa by 4 points
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
San Antonio is a well organized team, but with Becky Hammon and Sophia Young out for the season, they simply lack talent to be competitive. Their problems are mostly on the frontcourt and this will be a huge problem against Tulsa, who is now red hot since they started being able to feed their post players down low. The Shock crushed Los Angeles on the down low with 50 points in the paint, with Liz Cambage having 9-11 FG, 10-11 FT and 28 points and Glory Johnson 7-14 FG and 17 points! Tulsa is also crushing the offensive glass and getting a lot of free throws as well. Their only issue has been the turnovers, but they are also improving on this area since their hyped rookie Skylar Diggins got benched for their other rookie PG Angel Goodrich!
San Antonio's lack of size is a big problem for them and of course, the Shock will have a mega edge against them down low. The Silver Stars are the third worst paint defense in the league with 36.8 ppg allowed and they are also the worst defensive rebounding team in the league. The only edge that San Antonio will have today will be in forcing turnovers, where they are #5 in the league with 17.0% opp TO, but they have been struggling a little on this area lately by averaging just 13.4% on their last six games! Therefore, I believe Tulsa's offense will have a good performance today. On the other side, San Antonio's offense continues to struggle by averaging an offensive rating of 87.7 on their last five games! The Silver Stars will have some edge on their perimeter shooting, as the Shock have the third worst 3pts defense of the league by allowing 33.3% 3pts, but that won't be enough for San Antonio to compensate the massive edge that the Shock will have down low. Therefore, I'll be taking Tulsa in here in a Double Dime Play!
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 603 Tulsa Shock (+1) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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