Thursday, August 8, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/07: Los Angeles Dodgers @ St Louis Cardinals

MLB - 909 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 910 St Louis Cardinals

(Starting Pitchers: R. Nolasco vs S. Miller)

The Dodgers will start Ricky Nolasco tonight, who is coming from three earned runs against the Cubs last Thursday. This was a lucky outing for him, as the three runs allowed came from three single home runs! Nolasco allowed 3, 2, 2 and 3 earned runs on his last four starts, while having quite high P/IP ratios of 16.4, 17.3, 16.9 and 16.4! His FIP has been constantly higher than his ERA and so, I expect him to struggle tonight against the Cardinals, who are a top hitting team against RH pitchers!

Shelby Miller will start for St Louis tonight and he has been starting the second half of the season quite well. He pitched well at Atlanta and at Cincinnati, but it's at home where he has been amazing with a 1.74 ERA, 2.57 FIP and 2.90 xFIP! With the Dodgers not having Hanley Ramirez and A.J. Ellis in the starting lineup tonight, Miller's task will be easier and I expect him to have another good home outing tonight, leading his team to a comfortable win tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking the Cardinals in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 910 St Louis Cardinals ML (w/ S. Miller) @ -142 / 1.70 on Bovada

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