Saturday, August 24, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/23: Colorado Rockies @ Miami Marlins

MLB - 903 Colorado Rockies @ 904 Miami Marlins

(Starting Pitchers: J. Chacin vs T. Koehler)

Colorado is coming from a 1-3 series at Philadelphia, where they lost all three games by one run. They'll try to bounce back tonight with Jhoulys Chacin, who is coming from a series of solid starts. Baltimore was no easy matchup for him as they have great LH batters (Chacin's main problem: .270 BA + .310 wOBA + 3.58 FIP + 4.28 xFIP against them), while Chacin is good against RH batters with .234 BA, .276 wOBA, 2.81 FIP and 3.55 xFIP! Having in account that Miami's lineup is full of RH hitters and they are the worst team in the league in hitting against RH pitchers, this is an excellent matchup for Chacin tonight.

Tom Koehler will start for the Marlins and he has been struggling with a horrible P/IP ratio, always higher than 17.5 on his last five starts. His command isn't good at all, with 4/4 and 1/2 on his last two starts. Colorado's offense has been decent on this road trip by hitting .273 BA on their last 10 games against RH pitchers, while his best start of Koehler's season was at Colorado with just one earned run allowed in seven innings. This won't happen against tonight, especially with Koehler struggling in August with 4.54 FIP and 4.80 xFIP, besides having a poor 12.1% BB%. I believe Colorado will have both SP and offense edges in here, so I'll take them tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 903 Colorado Rockies ML (w/ J. Chacin) @ -130 / 1.77 on 5Dimes

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