Soccer Champions League - Lyon vs Real Sociedad
Pinnacle Sports odds: Real Sociedad -102, Lyon +308, Draw +270, Over 2.5 -119
***TOP PLAY***
This contest is the opposite of what I expect from the early game of the day between Zenit and Pacos de Ferreira as we have a perfect matchup for a high scoring game due mostly for the mental attitude that the French team will have to put on the pitch today.
Real Sociedad won in France 2-0 the first leg and showed an exciting game that was highlighted by two spectacular goals. The final score was a “huge surprise” as the French team was the clearly favorite go through this series. However that win was well deserved as Real Sociedad was not shy of playing on the road despite having several young players. They dominated the ball possession w/ 53%, they attempted more shots than Lyon 12 vs. 11 and they even had more corner kicks as well 7 vs. 6. Besides the two goals, the game had 2 balls that hit the post and only in the last 15 minutes of the game we saw a decrease of intensity because of a red card showed to a Lyon’ player.
For today I expect the French team to go to the pitch with an “all out attack” mindset from the start as they simply don’t have any margin to think otherwise. They cannot afford to have a more cautious role because time is running against them; the only way is to score goals if they want to qualify for the Champions League this season.
However this expected mindset from Lyon will put Real Sociedad in a comfortable spot of having more space to counter attack and use their good pace/speed on the front. This Spanish team has the same style of the last season despite having a new coach: they play a fluid offensive game and early on the day I’ve read some pre-match comments from their coach saying that if they start the contest with a “speculation mindset”, then they will lose the game because they simply don’t know how to play in that role.
Both teams are coming for this contest after subpar performances in their domestic leagues. Real Sociedad draw @Elche 1-1 while Lyon lost at home against Reims 0-1. It was a clear signal that both teams were thinking ahead of time for tonight’s big game so intensity and pace will be present in this contest.
I think we should be dealing with a 3 goals line in this contest as no matter what team scores first tonight, the opposition won’t change their offensive mindset and that fits well a high scoring game and that’s why I’m taking the Over as a Top Play.
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on Over 2.5 Goals @ -116 / 1.86 on 5 Dimes
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