(Starting Pitchers: J. Verlander vs J. Masterson)
Detroit will start Justin Verlander tonight and he allowed just one run in six innings against the Nationals last Wednesday. However, his command has been atrocious lately, with 6/5, 4/2, 3/4 and 3/3 K/BB on his last four outings! This is causing him to have high P/IP counts with 17.2, 17.2 and 18.7 on his last three starts! Thanks to this, Verlander's advanced numbers have been poor with a 4.19 ERA, 4.46 FIP and 4.97 xFIP in July! To make things even worse for him, he faced three poor teams on his last three outings (WAS #25; CWS #28; KC #26) and he still struggled in those games! Now against Cleveland, I expect Verlander to have lots of problems.
Justin Masterson will start for the Indians and he is coming from holding the White Sox to just one run in 6.2 innings last Wednesday. He is also coming from a favorable schedule on his last three starts, but unlike Verlander, he dominated with 1, 0 and 1 earned runs allowed, while having a 7/3, 8/1 and 8/0 K/BB! Therefore, this is a great bounce back spot for Cleveland tonight, with a better SP in the mount. I'll be taking the Indians in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 964 Cleveland Indians ML (w/ J. Masterson) @ +102 / 2.02 on Bovada
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