Saturday, August 10, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/09: New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - 911 New York Mets @ 912 Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: J. Hefner vs P. Corbin)

Arizona has some momentum for today, as they gave Tampa Bay a two-game sweep and they are now coming from a day off. On the other hand, the Mets took care of Colorado at home due to some solid pitching. Patrick Corbin will start for the Dbacks today and he allowed three runs in six innings against Boston last Saturday. This was Corbin's fifth quality start in a row, with a combined of 40/8 K/BB! His last poor outing was exactly at NY against the Mets, where he allowed five runs in six innings, so this is a revenge game for him tonight.

Jeremy Hefner will start for the Mets tonight and he is coming from three runs allowed in six innings against the Royals last Saturday. He has been having a poor second half of the season, with four subpar starts in a row. He was pounded by Philadelphia and Atlanta, while on his last two starts he allowed three earned runs on each outing, while having a poor command, as proved with his quite high P/IP ratio in those games: 18.3, 20.8, 20.5 and 31.5! The main problem for Hefner is that he struggled on his last two outings, even though he was facing Kansas City and Miami, two teams that are ranked #25 and #30 in hitting against RH pitchers!

With Corbin ready to get revenge against the Mets and with Hefner likely to struggle once again tonight, I expect the Dbacks to pick up an easy win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here on the runline.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 912 Arizona Diamondbacks RL -1.5 (w/ P. Corbin) @ +115 / 2.15 on 5Dimes

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