English Premier League - West Ham United @ Newcastle United
Newcastle had a terrible preseason that included two draws against two Portuguese teams (Paços Ferreira and Sporting Braga). They were also completely outclassed by Manchester City last Monday on Round 1, but that wasn't a big surprise given the quality of City. However, it's important to note that Steven Taylor was sent off in that game and so, he will be suspended for today's game. Besides that, their best center midfielder Yohan Cabaye will be out of today's game as well. The books are giving them a 42% chance of winning today, but I think that's too much given their current form.
West Ham is coming from a solid win against Cardiff in Round 1. They are a team made to play in counter moves with fast transitions to the offense. They had that attitude at home against Cardiff, where they had just 44% of ball possession, but where they would try to steal the ball as soon as possible and use fast transitions. This was how they shot the ball 18 times during the game! I expect the same attitude from West Ham today. Newcastle will try to assume the game, as they will be playing at home and West Ham will love that. Newcastle struggled on defense against Manchester City, especially on both sides, and even though Joe Cole isn't as dangerous as Jesus Navas, he is coming from an excellent performance against Cardiff and he will be a constant threat to Newcastle today. Therefore, I see good value on West Ham today and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on West Ham United (+0.25) @ -109 / 1.92 on Pinnacle OR @ -111 / 1.90 on 5Dimes
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