MLB - 981 Boston Red Sox @ 982 San Francisco Giants
(Starting Pitchers: J. Peavy vs R. Vogelsong)
Boston was on a poor spot yesterday, but they still crushed the Giants. Jon Lester pitched for 8.1 innings, so the Red Sox bullpen could rest. For tonight's game, Boston will have a clear SP edge. Ryan Vogelsong will start for San Francisco and this will be his third start after returning from the DL. The problem is that it's clear that he isn't ready to play right now. His command has been poor with a 7/6 K/BB ratio and he just can't go deep in the games due to a high P/IP ratio. To make things worse, his velocity is at a career low of 88 mph! Now against the #1 team in the league in hitting versus RH pitchers, I expect the worst for Vogelsong.
On the other hand, Jake Peavy will start for the Red Sox and after allowing six earned runs to the Royals in five innings, he bounced back at Toronto with two earned runs allowed in six innings. As a flyball pitcher, Peavy struggles with homeruns with a poor 12.7% HR/FB%, but this won't be a problem at San Francisco, so he should dominate the Giants. Considering the SP & offense edges for Boston tonight, I can only expect an easy win for them tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 981 Boston Red Sox RL -1 (w/ J. Peavy) @ -132 / 1.76 on 5Dimes
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