(Starting Pitchers: D. Hand vs T. Lincecum)
San Francisco won the first game of this series, but then they lost the following two games, even though they were clearly favored in both contests. However, it's important to note that they faced Wily Peralta and Marco Estrada in those two games, two capable pitchers. In today's game, I believe we have a real mismatch favoring San Francisco. Tim Lincecum will start for the Giants today and he has been a true ace on his last starts. He had some struggles after the no-hitter against Cincinnati, but he quickly bounced back with two great outings against the Cubs and at Tampa Bay. His strikeout numbers have been impressive as well, alongside an improvement on his change up as well. Lincecum has been terrific against RH batters with 3.52 FIP and 2.98 xFIP, so he should dominate the Brewers' lineup today that is full of righties as usual.
Milwaukee will start Donovan Hand today, who has a decent 3.60 ERA, but much worse advanced numbers with 4.91 FIP and 4.37 xFIP! His inability to strikeout batters has been a problem, as he is also allowing a lot of homeruns, despite facing poor offensive teams as of late. He will be a good matchup for the Giants' offense and so, I expect San Francisco to pick up an easy win in today's game.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 958 San Francisco Giants RL -1 (w/ T. Lincecum) @ -120 / 1.83 on 5Dimes
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