Tuesday, August 6, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/05: Milwaukee Brewers @ San Francisco Giants

MLB - 905 Milwaukee Brewers @ 906 San Francisco Giants

(Starting Pitchers: T. Thornburg vs C. Gaudin)

Milwaukee will start Tyler Thornburg tonight, who is coming from pitching six innings of shutout ball last Tuesday against the Cubs. This was his first start in the majors and even though he looked good in this outing, the truth is that his 5.79 ERA and 4.11 FIP in AAA don't impress me one bit. He is a classic fastball + curveball kind of pitcher and even though he looked good on his first starts in the majors, I don't believe he will be so successful tonight at San Francisco.

Chad Gaudin will start for the Giants and he is coming from allowing just one earned run in seven innings against Philadelphia last Wednesday. This is a nice bounce back spot for Gaudin, after getting crushed on his previous start against Cincinnati at home. I believe Gaudin will have another good outing tonight, as he has been excellent against RH batters with .174 BA, .231 wOBA, 2.81 FIP and 3.17 xFIP against them! Milwaukee's lineup is full of RH batters plus they are a subpar offensive team on the road, so I believe Gaudin will do a good job tonight, allowing his team to pick up an easy win in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 906 San Francisco Giants RL -1 (w/ C. Gaudin) @ -111 / 1.90 on 5Dimes

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