Thursday, August 29, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/28: Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

MLB - 971 Baltimore Orioles @ 972 Boston Red Sox

(Starting Pitchers: B. Norris vs J. Lackey)
Bud Norris will start for Baltimore and he can be a decent pitcher if he isn't facing lineups loaded with LH batters. But when that doesn't happen, he struggles a lot and he is allowing .305 BA, .386 wOBA, 13.7% K% vs 9.5% BB%, 5.35 FIP and 5.12 xFIP against LH hitters this season. He is coming from an outing against Oakland, where he faced the following lineup:

1. Coco Crisp (S) CF
2. Jed Lowrie (S) SS
3. Josh Donaldson (R) 3B
4. Brandon Moss (L) 1B
5. Yoenis Cespedes (R) LF
6. Seth Smith (L) RF
7. Alberto Callaspo (S) DH
8. Eric Sogard (L) 2B
9. Stephen Vogt (L) C

The A's had 7 batters hitting from the left side and with that, Norris allowed seven earned runs in just 4.2 innings! Unfortunately for Norris, Boston will have a similar approach tonight with several quality LH batters on the lineup to pound him. This is why Norris is allowing .385 BA and 1.088 OPS in 52 AB's to Boston's roster!

On the other side, John Lackey will start for Boston and after a bad game at Kansas City, he bounced back with two good outings against the two hottest teams in the league: one earned run allowed against the Yankees in 6.2 innings and two earned runs allowed in eight innings against the Dodgers! This is a great indicator about how good he has been pitching and therefore, he should be able to limit the damage against Baltimore, something that should be enough to allow his team to pick up an easy win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 972 Boston Red Sox RL -1 (w/ J. Lackey) @ -127 / 1.79 on 5Dimes

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