MLB - 929 Boston Red Sox @ 930 Los Angeles Dodgers
(Starting Pitchers: J. Peavy vs C. Capuano)
Jake Peavy will start for the Red Sox tonight and after a disastrous start at Kansas City when he was red hot, he bounced back well with back to back quality outings at Toronto and San Francisco. His problem this season besides his health has been the homeruns with a 12.1% HR/FB rate and a 46.2% FB%. This is why his bad starts are always a synonym of homeruns allowed. The good news for Peavy today is that he will pitch tonight on an extremely pitcher-friendly park, so he should be fine tonight.
The Dodgers will start Chris Capuano and he is coming from giving up three earned runs in five innings against Miami last Tuesday. He has been struggling lately with 6, 10 and 10 hits allowed on his last three outings, while having poor strikeout numbers, with a combined of 7 strikeouts in 14.1 innings, something that has high pitch counts as a consequence with 16.2, 17.2 and 19.8 P/IP on his last three games. The Dodgers were able to still win these three games because they scored 7, 5 and 6 runs, but I don't think they will be able to do that against Peavy tonight. Boston isn't a top offensive against LH pitchers, but they are hitting above .300 BA vs LHP on their last 10 games and they were able to cause damage on Ryu yesterday. Therefore, I believe Boston has an excellent matchup to win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 929 Boston Red Sox ML (w/ J. Peavy) @ -108 / 1.92 on Betonline
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