(Starting Pitchers: M. Leake vs T. Lyons)
Cincinnati will start Mike Leake tonight, who has been poor lately. He has a 6.26 ERA on his last four starts, while allowing four or more runs in three of these outings. Leake is having an inevitable regression, as his ERA wasn't supported by the advanced numbers. He allowed four, four and seven earned runs in three of his last four games, while his only good start being against San Diego, whose offense struggles a lot against RH pitchers. With a 6.26 ERA, 4.51 FIP and 4.25 xFIP in August, I believe the Cardinals will pound him tonight.
On the other side, Tyler Lyons will start for the Cardinals and he has a 5.09 ERA in seven starts this season. His last outing was last Tuesday at Milwaukee, where he pitched for two innings. He has already faced Cincinnati this season and he heavily struggled with a 6.75 ERA, 7.72 FIP and 4.40 xFIP! He isn't impressing me one bit and I believe the Reds will put in trouble once again tonight. Therefore, I believe both pitchers will struggle in here and so, I'll be taking the Over.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 951/952 Over 9 (w/ M. Leake & T. Lyons) @ -105 / 1.95 on Bookmaker
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