(Starting Pitchers: R. Halladay vs J. Samardzija)
NOTE: Early Game - No Writeup For This Contest
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 952 Chicago Cubs ML (w/ J. Samardzija) @ -126 / 1.79 on Bovada
MLB - 953 St Louis Cardinals @ 954 Pittsburgh Pirates
(Starting Pitchers: S. Miller vs F. Liriano)
Pittsburgh will start Francisco Liriano tonight, who allowed four earned runs on his last outing Saturday against San Francisco. Liriano has been inconsistent with three disasters over his last ten outings, but he has been dominating the Cardinals this season with one earned run allowed in each game against St Louis, with nine and seven innings pitched. However, I believe the Cardinals's lineup will be fired up and they will finally cause some issues on the inconsistent Liriano tonight.
Shelby Miller will start for the Cardinals and he is coming from back to back good outings at Milwaukee and especially against Atlanta. He had three decent starts against Pittsburgh this season, with three, three and two earned runs allowed. He is now using the cutter pitch a lot and this is surprising his opponents completely! Miller is great against RH batters (.187 BA, .247 wOBA, 2.78 FIP and 3.01 xFIP), so he is a terrible matchup for the Pirates' lineup that is loaded with RH batters. Therefore, I see good value on the Cardinals tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 953 St Louis Cardinals ML (w/ S. Miller) @ +118 / 2.18 on 5Dimes
(Starting Pitchers: B. Arroyo vs J. De La Rosa)
Cincinnati will start Bronson Arroyo tonight and he is coming from four phenomenal starts, with a combined of 26/0 K/BB! He faced teams loaded with RH batters (Milwaukee, Arizona, Cubs and San Diego) and Arroyo is great against them, while he struggles against LH batters, but Colorado doesn't have LH batters in good form to insert them in the lineup tonight to make Arroyo struggle. Therefore, he should have another good outing against the Rockies, like his first two outings of the season against Colorado, where he didn't allow a single earned run in 6.2 and 8.0 innings of work!
Jorge De La Rosa will start for the Rockies and he is coming from a poor start against Miami, who happens to be the worst team in the league on hitting against LH pitchers! He has a solid 3.62 ERA in August, but his command with 14.6% K% and 9.8% BB% isn't impressive. I believe Cincinnati will have a clear SP edge tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 959 Cincinnati Reds ML (w/ B. Arroyo) @ -130 / 1.77 on Betonline
MLB - 961 San Francisco Giants @ 962 Arizona Diamondbacks
(Starting Pitchers: T. Lincecum vs R. Delgado)
Tim Lincecum will start for San Francisco tonight and he is coming from no runs allowed against Washington last Saturday. He had high P/IP ratios on his last three outings, but he faced Pittsburgh, Boston and Washington, three teams that are #14, #3 and #2 respectively on offense in August! Arizona has been also hitting quite well in August, but I believe Lincecum will have another decent outing tonight, even with some batters walked.
Arizona will start Randall Delgado, who allowed five runs in six innings against Cincinnati last Monday. Delgado has been facing tough opposition lately and so, he is starting to struggle. I rate Lincecum a bit higher than Delgado right now, so with the Giants having a slight SP edge in here tonight, I believe they have great value as underdogs. Therefore, I'll be taking San Francisco in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 961 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ T. Lincecum) @ +117 / 2.17 on 5Dimes
MLB - 967 Kansas City Royals @ 968 Toronto Blue Jays
(Starting Pitchers: E. Santana vs M. Buehrle)
Kansas City will start Ervin Santana, who allowed four earned runs in 6.2 innings against Washington last Sunday. He had 6.78, 4.53 and 8.76 FIP in three of his last four starts, with his only good start being against the terrible Marlins. He is currently having a 4.94 FIP and 4.11 xFIP in August and his 11.9% HR/FB% will be heavily exposed against Toronto's power lineup tonight.
Mark Buehrle will start for the Blue Jays and he is coming from six quality starts on his last eight outings, with a 2.41 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 6.59 K/9 in 56 innings. He has been solid with 1, 2, 1 and 3 earned runs allowed over his last four games, even though he faced Oakland, Boston and the NY Yankees in three of these four games! I believe Toronto has huge value as home underdogs tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 968 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ M. Buehrle) @ +112 / 2.12 on 5Dimes
MLB - 973 Minnesota Twins @ 974 Texas Rangers
(Starting Pitchers: L. Hendriks vs Y. Darvish)
Yu Darvish will start for Texas tonight and he allowed two runs in seven innings against the White Sox last Saturday. He has been a strikeout machine this season, but he has been prone to allow a home run here and there. He will now face Minnesota, whose lineup has been terrible lately with less than .200 BA in four of his last five games! They have also the worst K% allowed over the last week with 27.7% K% and also dead last over the last two weeks with 25.8% K%, so Yu will destroy them tonight.
Minnesota will start Liam Hendriks, who couldn't strikeout a single batter on his last outing. His 6.20 ERA, 6.03 FIP and 4.94 xFIP over four starts this season are just terrible, with a poor 25,6% linedrive% and a 39.7% flyball%, besides a horrible 8.8% K%! Texas is coming from a day off, so they should be fresh for tonight to pound him. I expect an easy win for Texas and so, I'll be taking them on the runline tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 974 Texas Rangers RL -1.5 (w/ Y. Darvish) @ -150 / 1.67 on Bookmaker
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