MLB - 979 Baltimore Orioles @ 980 San Diego Padres
(Starting Pitchers: B. Norris vs E. Volquez)
Baltimore really needs to make a good run right now and they'll start Bud Norris tonight, who allowed just two earned runs in six innings against Houston on his first start for the Orioles, where he showed a good command with 8/2 K/BB! Norris's big problem this season has been the homeruns allowed and his struggles against LH batters with 5.24 FIP and 5.01 xFIP, while he has been great against RH batters with 2.43 FIP and 3.67 xFIP! As he will play at a pitcher-friendly park tonight, I don't believe homeruns will be an issue, while the Padres' lineup is just #23 against RH pitchers, while they are #4 versus LH pitchers. Therefore, this is a good spot for Norris to dominate.
On the other hand, Edinson Volquez will start for the Padres and he is coming from two earned runs allowed in 6.1 innings against Cincinnati last Tuesday. He was quite lucky on his first three starts after the All Star break with 3/5, 5/3 and 1/1 K/BB ratios in those starts and so, I expect him to struggle a lot tonight, as Baltimore have great LH batters and Volquez is allowing .292 BA, .364 wOBA, 4.19 FIP and 4.35 xFIP against LH batters this season! I believe Norris will have a good outing, while Volquez will heavily struggle on this poor matchup for him, so I expect the Orioles to pick up a comfortable win in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 979 Baltimore Orioles ML (w/ B. Norris) @ -135 / 1.74 on Bookmaker
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