(Starting Pitchers: M. Latos vs T. Wood)
Cincinnati will start Mat Latos tonight, who has been having a nice season. He has some issues in facing LH batters (3.89 FIP and 4.11 xFIP), but he isn't terrible against them. However, this was the main reason why he struggled on his last two outings against Cincinnati and Atlanta. Things will be much different tonight at Chicago against the Cubs, as he will be facing just three lefties:
1. David DeJesus (L) CF
2. Junior Lake (R) LF
3. Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
4. Welington Castillo (R) C
5. Nate Schierholtz (L) RF
6. Starlin Castro (R) SS
7. Donnie Murphy (R) 3B
8. Darwin Barney (R) 2B
9. Travis Wood (R) P
Therefore, I expect Latos to have a good outing, as he has excellent against RH batters this season. On the other side, the Cubs will start Travis Wood, who has been alternating good starts with poor ones. He is coming from a nice start at Philadelphia, with a 7/1 K/BB ratio, but that hasn't been the norm. His advanced stats are much worse than his ERA and that is a clear sign for a regression in the near future. This will be his fourth start this season against the Reds and he is allowing .267 BA and .795 OPS in 105 AB's. The surprise effect is completely gone and the Reds will score a decent number of runs tonight. Therefore, I expect Cincinnati to pick up a comfortable win tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 953 Cincinnati Reds RL -1 (w/ M. Latos) @ -116 / 1.86 on 5Dimes
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