Thursday, August 8, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/07: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners

MLB - 913 Toronto Blue Jays @ 914 Seattle Mariners

(Starting Pitchers: J. Happ vs A. Harang)

Toronto will be trying to complete a road sweep today, after having surprisingly won the first two games of this series. They'll be facing Aaron Harang today, who allowed seven runs in five innings against Baltimore last Friday. Over his last six outings, Harang only had one good start against Minnesota. The reason for these problems are mostly because of his lack of strikeout punch, which forces him to have high P/IP numbers. So, it's not a surprise that everytime he faces a team that is a top hitting team versus RH pitchers, he gets crushed. This is why he allowed seven runs against Boston, then one run (but 11 hits!) against the LA Angels and also one run against Cleveland, where he was very lucky with a 1.29 ERA in that outing, but with a 5.18 FIP and 5.49 xFIP! Therefore, I expect Harang to heavily struggle today against the power lineup of the Blue Jays.

J.A. Happ will back his comeback start today and he has a favorable matchup in here, as Seattle is just #23 in the league on hitting versus LH pitchers, while hitting just .241 BA versus LH pitchers on their last 10 games. Seattle's struggles against LH pitchers are explained with the fact that their top hitters are also lefties and in fact, most of their lineup is left-handed. Happ won't pitch for a lot of innings today, but Toronto's bullpen isn't overworked and so, they are ready to help Happ today. I believe Happ should be able to have a decent outing today on a good matchup, while Harang should get pounded, so I'll be taking the Blue Jays today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 913 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ J. Happ) @ -107 / 1.93 on 5Dimes

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