MLB - 911 Pittsburgh Pirates @ 912 San Francisco Giants
(Starting Pitchers: C. Morton vs M. Bumgarner)
Charlie Morton will start for Pittsburgh tonight and he has been very solid, if we exclude a disastrous start against St Louis. I took him on his last start against Arizona and it wasn't because of him that I lost that play, as he allowed two earned runs in seven innings, with a 6/3 K/BB ratio. He is a groundball pitcher who completely dominates RH batters with .271 wOBA, 3.08 FIP and 2.82 xFIP. The Giants' lineup is mostly composed by righties, so this is a good spot for Morton tonight.
San Francisco will start Madison Bumgarner, who allowed four runs in five innings against the Marlins last Sunday. He has allowed at least one walk in five of his last six starts and with him being left-handed, he will be a good matchup for Pittsburgh, a team that is #4 in the league on hitting against LH pitchers. Their lineup is fully of righties, so Bumgarner won't have a lot of lefties to dominate tonight (.158 BA, 2.83 FIP and 2.34 xFIP). Therefore, I believe Morton is being underrated in here, while Bumgarner is being a bit overrated especially against the Pirates' good offense against LH pitchers. Looking at all of these, I'll be taking the Pirates tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 911 Pittsburgh Pirates RL +1 (w/ C. Morton) @ -127 / 1.78 on 5Dimes
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