Saturday, August 24, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/23: Atlanta Braves @ St Louis Cardinals

MLB - 907 Atlanta Braves @ 908 St Louis Cardinals

(Starting Pitchers: K. Medlen vs A. Wainwright)

St Louis will start Adam Wainwright tonight and he is coming from a couple of series where he wasn't fully dominant: @Atlanta; @Pittsburgh; vs LA Dodgers; vs Pittsburgh. These are four playoff contenders. Nevertheless, he had a good command against Pittsburgh, but he allowed two home runs. On his start at Atlanta, he allowed three earned runs in seven innings, but with an excellent 8/1 K/BB ratio. His last start was excellent with one earned run allowed and a 11/1 K/BB, so I expect him to have a good outing tonight as usual.

Kris Medlen will start for Atlanta tonight, who his start was push back to tonight, as Saturday's extra-inning game forced him into relief. He has already faced the Cardinals this season and he allowed two earned runs in six innings, while having a 4/1 K/BB ratio. However, it's important to note that Medlen's last three starts were against poor teams (Philadelphia x2 and Washington), with him being much better at home (3.04 ERA, 3.14 FIP and 3.60 xFIP) than on the road (4.38 ERA, 4.67 FIP and 4.40 xFIP)! Also Medlen's best pitch is the change up and the Cardinals are hitting against them very well lately by being #3 in the league over the last 30 days and #1 over the last 14 days! Therefore, I see a clear SP edge for St Louis tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 908 St Louis Cardinals ML (w/ A. Wainwright) @ -145 / 1.69 on 5Dimes

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