(Starting Pitchers: J. Parker vs C. Tillman)
Note: early game
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963 Oakland Athletics ML (w/ J. Parker) @ +114 / 2.14 on Bovada
MLB - 977 Boston Red Sox @ 978 LA Dodgers
(Starting Pitchers: J. Lester vs H. Ryu)
Note: early game
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 977 Boston Red Sox ML (w/ Lester) @ +115 / 2.15 on Bovada
MLB - 951 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 952 Philadelphia Phillies
(Starting Pitchers: R. Delgado vs E. Martin)
Arizona will start Randall Delgado tonight, who allowed five runs in six innings against Cincinnati on Monday. This was the fourth outing in a row where he didn't have nice numbers with 4.70, 6.89, 5.04 and 6.04 FIP on his last four starts. But there's a big reason for that: his schedule, as he played at Boston, at home against Tampa Bay and Baltimore, and then at Cincinnati. His speed pitches and zone% were the usual for him, but he struggled due to face quality opposition. Now against the inferior offensive team of Philadelphia, I expect him to bounce back.
Ethan Martin will start for the Phillies tonight and he is far from being a good SP. His numbers against RH batters are especially poor, with 6.34 FIP and 4.99 xFIP against them. This is important while facing the Dbacks, as most of their lineup is composed by righties. He has unsustainable rates of 21.0% LD%, 29.0% GB% and 50.0% FB, so I expect Arizona to score a nice number of runs tonight, while picking up a good win tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 951 Arizona Diamondbacks ML (w/ R. Delgado) @ -112 / 1.89 on 5Dimes
MLB - 971 Texas Rangers @ 972 Chicago White Sox
(Starting Pitchers: Y. Darvish vs H. Santiago)
Yu Darvish will start for the Rangers tonight and he is coming from allowing three earned runs in 7.1 innings against Seattle, while having a 7/4 K/BB ratio. He had five days of rest for tonight's game and I expect him to "bounce back" in here. The only problem Yu has at times is the walks, but the White Sox are the 2nd worst team in the league on BB% with just 6.6%! Therefore, I expect Yu to have another dominant outing tonight!
The White Sox will start Hector Santiago, who is coming from three wins against the Yankees, Detroit and Minnesota, while allowing four, one and one earned runs. However, Santiago's advanced numbers were ugly in those outings with 3.70 FIP + 6.01 xFIP, 4.24 FIP + 5.34 xFIP and 6.92 FIP + 4.77 xFIP! This was caused by some poor control, especially on his last two games, where he had a 1/2 and 3/4 K/BB ratio. His P/IP ratio has been high at the same time, with 19.5, 20.4 and 17.6 P/IP! There's just too many red flags for Santiago in here against a Texas offense that has been crushing LH pitchers lately with .321 BA on their last 10 games against them. Santiago is a flyball pitcher with a 43.4% FB% and a 20.5% Linedrive rate, so he has a terrible combination to pitch against the Rangers at Chicago. Therefore, I expect an easy win for the Rangers tonight and so, I'll be taking them on the runline in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 971 Texas Rangers RL -1.5 (w/ Y. Darvish) @ -120 / 1.83 on 5Dimes
MLB - 973 Los Angeles Angels @ 974 Seattle Mariners
(Starting Pitchers: J. Vargas vs E. Ramirez)
Jason Vargas will start for the Angels tonight and he has been horrible since he cameback from the DL, with 6.04 FIP + 5.15 xFIP and 8.34 FIP + 4.90 xFIP on his two comeback outings. With fastballs at 86.6 and 86.9 mph, he isn't going far. He struggled at the Yankees who were hitting very well at the time, but struggling at Houston shows that Vargas isn't pitching well at all right now. Therefore, Seattle should be able to put him in trouble tonight as well.
Seattle will start Erasmo Ramirez, who allowed two runs (one earned) against Texas on his last outing. This was his best start of the season, with 13 ground ball outs. I believe he will have a favorable matchup tonight, as the Angels are the 2nd team in the league with more double plays allowed, something that a groundball pitcher will certainly appreciate. Ramirez's only issue has been the homeruns, but after pitching at Baltimore, Tampa Bay and Texas, three stadiums that allow the long-ball quite often, things should be different at Seattle's pitcher-friendly stadium. I see Seattle having a clear SP edge in tonight's game and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 974 Seattle Mariners ML (w/ E. Ramirez) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bovada
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