(Starting Pitchers: J. Lackey vs R. Nolasco)
This is a good spot for Boston, as they had a day off yesterday, while the Dodgers played last night in Miami. Besides that, the Dodgers are coming from three series against lowly teams (NY Mets, Philadelphia, Miami) and they will now have a much tougher series against the Red Sox. The Dodgers "spent" their two aces Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke against Miami, so they'll have to start Ricky Nolasco on the first game of this series. Nolasco had four decent performances in August, but three of them were against subpar offenses (Philadelphia, NY Mets and Chicago Cubs) that are the bottom 10 on hitting against RH pitchers. His outing at St Louis was indeed game with no runs allowed in five innings, but he had a 20.6 P/IP ratio, not impressive at all. Boston is a very patient lineup and therefore, they will eventually put Nolasco in trouble tonight.
On the other side, John Lackey will start for Boston tonight and even though he isn't at the same level that he was a few months ago, he keeps being solid. In fact, Lackey allowed just one earned run in 6.2 innings against the Yankees and that's a good sign for him. Lackey's only issue was a high 14.1% HR/FB rate, but that won't be a problem at the Dodgers stadium. Lackey had solid numbers in August with 3.20 ERA, 3.29 FIP and 3.47 xFIP, so I believe he will give Boston a SP edge tonight. If we combine that with a better spot, I believe the Red Sox have great value tonight.
On the other side, John Lackey will start for Boston tonight and even though he isn't at the same level that he was a few months ago, he keeps being solid. In fact, Lackey allowed just one earned run in 6.2 innings against the Yankees and that's a good sign for him. Lackey's only issue was a high 14.1% HR/FB rate, but that won't be a problem at the Dodgers stadium. Lackey had solid numbers in August with 3.20 ERA, 3.29 FIP and 3.47 xFIP, so I believe he will give Boston a SP edge tonight. If we combine that with a better spot, I believe the Red Sox have great value tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 929 Boston Red Sox ML (w/ J. Lackey) @ -101 / 1.99 on Bookmaker
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