MLB - 953 Miami Marlins @ 954 Washington Nationals
(Starting Pitchers: H. Alvarez vs S. Strasburg)
Washington will start Stephen Strasburg tonight, who is coming from a good start at Chicago against the Cubs, where he allowed two earned runs. He has been at a good level on the second half of the season with a 3.02 ERA, 3.14 FIP and 2.57 xFIP, with a phenomenal 29.1% K% and 5.5% BB%! This is a revenge game for Strasburg, who was surprisingly crushed at Miami last month, so I expect him to get revenge over Miami's terrible offense that hit below .160 BA on their last four games!
Henderson Alvarez will start for the Marlins in here and he has been slumping lately due to some bad control, with seven walks on his last three outings. Washington's offense has comeback to life recently and they are now #4 in the league over the past week, #7 over the last two weeks and #5 over the last month! They are hitting .282 BA on the last 14 days and so, I expect them to pound the struggling Alvarez. With Washington's clear SP and offense edges tonight, I expect them to pick up an easy win and so, I'll be taking them on the runline.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 954 Washington Nationals RL -1.5 (w/ S. Strasburg) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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