Saturday, August 24, 2013

WNBA Free Premium Plays 08/24

WNBA - 601 Indiana Fever @ 602 Minnesota Lynx

Projected Line: Minnesota by 6 points

This is a poor spot for Minnesota, who had a hectic schedule as of late:

08/16 vs TUL
08/18 vs NY
08/20 @ATL
08/22 @ CON
08/24 vs IND

This is five games in nine days, with the last four games forcing them to travel. As always, even though it was an easy game for them, Minnesota had three of their starters on court for over 32 minutes yesterday at Connecticut. On the other hand, Indiana saw the return of Shavonte Zellous on their last game against San Antonio that they comfortably won. Indiana's defense is a tough matchup for Minnesota, as even though they are undersized, the Fever had a great team help defense and they allowed almost as fewer points in the paint to their opponents as Minnesota. Indiana is #5 in the league on paint defense with 31.1 ppg allowed, while Minnesota is #4 with 30.8 ppg allowed. If we combine this with Minnesota's poor spot, Indiana's defense should have a good performance tonight.

On the other side, the Fever's offense had some games where they struggled by averaging 68.8 points on a span of five games, but these were the game where Zellous didn't play. Now with her back on court, Indiana gets an immediate boost on offense. The Fever don't have a lot of depth and so, when a key player is out, they immediately struggle. This isn't the case tonight and therefore, I expect Indiana to be competitive tonight. So, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 601 Indiana Fever (+9,5) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada



WNBA - 603 Chicago Sky @ 604 Atlanta Dream

Projected Line: 158 points

Chicago locked a playoff spot yesterday with a win against New York, so I believe they will be a bit relaxed tonight and this means less effort on defense. The Sky's game went Under yesterday, but it wasn't because of their offense, as they scored 82 points. Their starters didn't play a lot with Courtney Vandersloot being on the floor the most with 26 minutes. Chicago was a period of poor offense that coincided with their rookie Elena Delle Donne being banged up, but she has recovered and with her, the Sky's offense also recovered by averaging an offensive rate of 105.3 on their last seven games!

So, the question in here will be Atlanta's offense, who scored just 64 points at Washington last night, mostly thanks to a 1-18 3pts mark and with their start Angel McCoughtry shooting just 6-20 FG! But the Dream are a completely different team at home, as while they average just a 92.4 offensive rating on the road, they average 106.4 at home! Therefore, I expect Atlanta to bounce back offensively tonight by being more aggressive with more free throws and fast break points. I expect a relatively fast paced game in here, with both teams having nice offensive outcomes tonight, so I'll be taking the Over on this contest.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 603/604 Over 154 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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