Saturday, August 24, 2013

English Premier League Play - Manchester City @ Cardiff City

English Premier League - Manchester City @ Cardiff City

Manchester City was the team that showed the best offensive fluidity on Round 1. They crushed Newcastle on everything: 64% ball possession, 91% pass success rate, 11 shots on target. Their ability to play deep on the wings with Jesus Navas and David Silva is amazing and they're to my the #1 contender to win the EPL this season. For today's game, Vincent Kompany won't play and he will join Stevan Jovetic, Micah Richards and Matija Nastasic on the sidelines. However, Javi Garcia will replace him in today's game by partnering with Joleon Lescott at centre back and he is a fine replacement. Besides that, Cardiff City was extremely poor at West Ham on Round 1 and so, I don't expect them to cause problems to City's defense today.

Cardiff City was unable to create scoring chances against West Ham, with just a couple of decent plays on the second half, even though they ended the game with 56% ball possession. Of course Cardiff won't have such a high percentage of ball possession, while their defense will lack the proper discipline to handle the offensive waves from Manchester City during the whole game. West Ham was able to create 15 build up offensive plays against them, so Manchester City should be able to absolutely crush them with continuous offensive plays throughout the whole match.

I believe Cardiff City will also show some nerves on their home debut today, while Manchester City will want to make a statement in their first road game of the season, after being just the 5th best road team in the league last season, the main reason why they couldn't revalidate their title. Therefore, I'll be taking Manchester City today for an easy win.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Manchester City (-1) @ -131 / 1.76 on Pinnacle OR -135 / 1.74 on Betonline

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