Friday, August 30, 2013

MLB Premium Card 08/29

MLB - 907 Oakland Athletics @ 908 Detroit Tigers

(Starting Pitchers: B. Colon vs M. Scherzer)

Note: early game

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 908 Detroit Tigers RL-1 (w/ M. Scherzer) @ -145 / 1.69 on 5 Dimes



MLB - 909 LA Angels @ 910 Tampa Bay Rays

(Starting Pitchers: J. Vargas vs J. Odorizzi)

Note: early game

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 910 Tampa Bay Rays RL-1 (w/ J. Odorizzi) @ -112 / 1.89 on 5 Dimes



MLB - 903 Miami Marlins @ 904 Washington Nationals

(Starting Pitchers: T. Koehler vs G. Gonzalez)

Gio Gonzalez will start for the Nationals tonight and he is coming from two poor outings at Kansas and at Detroit. However, these two poor outings were caused by a similar spot, where he was coming from a start where he had a super high pitch count, so he was tired. This won't happen tonight, as he had 5 days of rest prior to tonight and he threw just 77 pitches against the Royals on his last game. Miami is the worst offense of the league against LH pitchers and they are hitting just .234 BA against LH pitchers on their last 10 games, while Miami's roster is hitting just .183 BA and .456 OPS in 82 AB's against Gio. Therefore, this is a good bounce back spot for him tonight.

On the other side, Miami will start Tom Koehler, who has a 11% BB% in August, something that prevents him to go deep in the outings, as it causes quite high P/IP ratios. Washington's lineup is now healthy and they have woken up recently by being #4 in the league over the last 30 and 14 days! Koehler throws fastballs and curveballs, two types of pitches where Washington is really good against. Therefore, I expect an easy win for the Nationals tonight and so, I'll be taking them on the runline in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 904 Washington Nationals RL -1.5 (w/ G. Gonzalez) @ -105 / 1.95 on Betonline



MLB - 915 Seattle Mariners @ 916 Houston Astros

(Starting Pitchers: E. Ramirez vs J. Lyles)

We have excellent conditions in here for a high scoring game, with the winds blowing out to center field at 5-10 mph and the temperatures rounding 100ยบ! Seattle will start Erasmo Ramirez, who has a 41.3% flyball rate, combined with a 20.3% linedrive%, a bad combination that gives him a 14.5% HR/FB%! Houston's offense is surprisingly #3 in the league over the last two weeks with a stellar .805 OPS, so they will cause problems to Ramirez tonight!

Jordan Lyles will start for Houston and he has been alternating starts with games where he comes off the bullpen. His second half of the season has been horrible with a 7.68 ERA, .331 BA, 6.04 FIP and 4.69 xFIP! Seattle was swept at home by the LA Angels and Texas in a row, so they are really needing to play on the road to relieve the pressure. Lyles is catastrophic against LH batters with 11.2% K% and 10.5% BB% and Seattle will use seven players hitting from the left side tonight! 

1. Brad Miller (L) SS
2. Nick Franklin (S) 2B
3. Kyle Seager (L) 3B
4. Raul Ibanez (L) DH
5. Justin Smoak (S) 1B
6. Franklin Gutierrez (R) RF
7. Michael Saunders (L) LF
8. Dustin Ackley (L) CF
9. Humberto Quintero (R) C

With both pitchers struggling tonight, I expect this game to be a high scoring contest and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 915/916 Over 9 (w/ E. Ramirez & J. Lyles) @ +100 / 2.00 on Bookmaker



MLB - 917 Cleveland Indians @ 918 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: U. Jimenez vs K. Medlen)

Kris Medlen will start for Atlanta and he is coming from a decent start at St Louis, where he allowed three earned runs in six innings. Decent has been the rule for Medlen in August with a 3.72 ERA and 4.69 xFIP, but he has been poor against LH batters with a 4.40 FIP and 4.43 xFIP! Cleveland is one of the teams that can really build a lineup full of quality LH batters and this is happening tonight as well, with six batters hitting from the left side:

1. Michael Bourn (L) CF
2. Nick Swisher (S) RF
3. Jason Kipnis (L) 2B
4. Carlos Santana (S) 1B
5. Michael Brantley (L) LF
6. Yan Gomes (R) C
7. Asdrubal Cabrera (S) SS
8. Mike Aviles (R) 3B
9. Ubaldo Jimenez (R) P

Cleveland will start Ubaldo Jimenez and he has been quite underrated on his last three starts. He is having an excellent August with 2.86 ERA, 2.49 FIP and 3.68 xFIP, so therefore I believe Cleveland have an excellent chance to win tonight's game and avoid getting swept on this series. I'll be taking the Indians tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 917 Cleveland Indians ML (w/ U. Jimenez) @ +124 / 2.24 on Bookmaker

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