NBA - 705 Sacramento Kings @ 706 Miami Heat
Projected lines: 206 points | Miami by 17 points
From all the lowly teams in the league, the Kings will defense is the one more who presents the easiest matchup to the Heat red hot offense. The Kings defense is almost allowing 17 fast break points per game and Miami is lethal in transition as we all know it and therefore, we can expect a big offensive show from the Heat today. Sacramento is also terribly bad at defending at the rim by allowing 69% FG! This combination of bad interior defense with bad transition defense will give the Heat a very easy matchup for them!
Sacramento has also been playing with a 3-guards rotation with Evans + Thomas + Thornton and so, this will be a walk in the park for Wade and Lebron. Miami is not only red shot near the basket, as also from the outside with 40% FG from 16-23 feet and 47% 3pts in their last 5 games. The Kings may have some edge with Cousins down low, but Miami defends very well at the rim, so either Sacramento will hit from their outside shots or Miami's defensive rebounds will easily transform into transition points!
We can expect the Heat to be a bit relaxed tonight, but their edge in this matchup is just tremendous. In a way or another,this game will end up being similar to the one the Kings played in Chicago, where the Bulls won by 121-115. The difference is that Rose was out in that game and tonight, Miami will have both Lebron and Wade pounding the poor defense of the Kings. Therefore, I expect a super blowout for Miami tonight in a shootout and so, I'll take both Miami and the over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 705/706 Over 202 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 706 Miami Heat (-13,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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