Monday, February 13, 2012

NBA Premium Play 02/12: Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks


NBA - 807 Miami Heat @ 808 Atlanta Hawks

Projected line: Miami by 7 points

Atlanta is now 2-0 on their last 2 games, but they clearly had a favorable matchup in both games. They took Indiana in a back to back for the Pacers and simply controlled the boards to win easily, while in their last game at Orlando, they executed their usual plan against Howard: play him 1*1 and shut down the Magic perimeter players instead. This will be Atlanta's biggest problem for tonight because unlike Orlando's perimeter, where they barely attack the rim and prefer to try 3pts shots, Miami will attack the rim and Atlanta has a very thin frontcourt right now. Atlanta was able to defeat Miami on the road earlier on this season because they caught the Heat on a back to back spot and especially, they still had Al Horford playing. Atlanta is depending from Josh and Johnson too much right now and they will have a very tough defensive matchup against Wade and Lebron tonight. Therefore, I believe in a comfortable win for the Heat today and so, I'll take them.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 807 Miami Heat (-3,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

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