Friday, February 17, 2012

NBA Free Premium Play 02/17: Milwaukee Bucks @ Orlando Magic


  
Milwaukee  at Orlando 
 
 

NBA - 801 Milwaukee Bucks @ 802 Orlando Magic


Projected line: Orlando by 12 points

These two teams faced each other on Saturday, so what are the differences between that game and tonight's game? The main difference will be in physical terms, as the spot was very favorable to the Bucks last Saturday. Orlando was coming from games against the Clippers (OT), then against Miami and finally against Atlanta. So, the Magic had played in the night before in a game that went to overtime and all their starters had been on the court for at least 35 minutes. On the other hand, Milwaukee was also coming from a back to back overtime game against Cleveland, but the minutes had been more shared by the Bucks roster, as Milwaukee has a deeper bench than Orlando.

In the game between these two teams, Milwaukee dominated the boards and the 2nd unit edge was quite evident, as note at the +/- of Orlando's starters in that game: Nelson +17; J Rich +19; Ryan +17; Hedo +17 and Howard +5! The problem was that every Orlando bench player had DD negative numbers on +/-! Milwaukee has natural problems in scoring on the inside with 11-22 FG at the rim and 1-8 FG from 3-9 feet, however they shot really well from the outside with 12-26 FG from 16-23 feet and 9-22 3pts! Orlando won the game via their outside shooting, with a red hot J Rich shooting 9-11 3pts, helping the team to shoot a combined of 15-37 3pts!

Having in account the good spot of Orlando for this contest and the fact that they are coming from a monster game against the best perimeter defense in the league, the Magic won't have any problems in scoring tonight. Milwaukee is coming from a home loss against an injury-riddled New Orleans, where they shot 11-28 FG at the rim against a depleted frontcourt of the Hornets! Considering the good physical spot of Orlando tonight, they have everything to blowout the Bucks and so, I'll take them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 802 Orlando Magic (-7,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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