NBA - 703 Detroit Pistons @ 704 Cleveland Cavaliers
Projected line: 196 points
Both teams are coming from wins. Cleveland defeated Sacramento at home, even with some offensive struggles, as they shot just 36% FG and their two best offensive players didn't play well: Irving 8-21 FG and Jamison 7-21 FG. Curiously, the Cavs had a lot of volume near the basket, but poor shooting: 19-32 FG at the rim and 2-10 FG from 3-9 feet.
Both teams also didn't do a good job in defending transitions, as Sacramento scored 21 fast break points and Cleveland 13 points! On this specific area, Detroit is a bad team, as they allow 1.17 PPP in transition plays! In fact, the Pistons faced the Kings recently and in that game, Sacramento scored 29 fast break points and Detroit scored 30, while both teams scored also 60 and 56 points in the paint respectively! I also expect high numbers at this area for tonight, as Cleveland is playing without Varejao and Erden lacks the same defensive qualities of the Brazilian center, while Detroit has in Monroe a huge offensive threat in their frontcourt.
On the other side, Detroit's interior defense is very poor, especially in defending quick point guards like Irving, who will have a great matchup tonight! We have everything necessary to have a close game in here, with both teams producing a good amount of offense by taking advantage of the defensive struggles of the other team. Therefore, I'll be taking the over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 703/704 Over 193 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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