NBA Free Premium Play 02/22: Milwaukee Bucks @ Chicago Bulls

Milwaukee  at Chicago    NBA - 517 Milwaukee Bucks @ 518 Chicago Bulls Projected line: 185 points This is the last game for both games before the all star game. Milwaukee is coming from another ballgame loss against Orlando. With Gooden once again out, the Bucks frontcourt is a bit undersized, but Ilyasova is in beast mode and grabbing a lot of rebounds, especially on the offensive end. However, they have been having a lot of problems in scoring at the rim: 53% FG on their last 10 games and 50% FG on their last 5 games! Considering they will face Chicago tonight, these problems won't certainly disappear. In the first two games of the series, Milwaukee shot 19-33 FG and 15-25 FG at the rim, good numbers but which are unlikely to be repeated, as Gooden had great games in those with 7-13 FG 10-10 FT 24pts and 6-14 FG 10-10 FT 23pts! Defensively, Milwaukee has been excellent in defending the rim, with just 50% FG allowed in the last 5 games and 54% FG in the last 10! Their biggest problem has been the rebounding, as they are a machine in grabbing offensive rebounds, but at the same time they are terrible at getting defensive rebounds, having allowed their opponents to have an average of offensive rebound rate of 31.6% in their last 10 games! On the other hand, Chicago with a size edge in the frontcourt and by being a great offensive rebound team will have a tremendous edge in here, even though the Bulls are a bad team in scoring via offensive rebounds with just 1.11 PPP! I believe the blowout line for the Bulls is correct, however I see some value on the under, as Milwaukee will struggle on offensive quite heavily, while the Bulls won't also have an easy offensive game against the Bucks excellent rim defense. So, I'll be taking the under in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 517/518 Under 189 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker