Tuesday, February 21, 2012

NBA Free Premium Play 02/21: Philadelphia 76ers @ Memphis Grizzlies


  
Philadelphia  at Memphis 


NBA - 707 Philadelphia 76ers @ 708 Memphis Grizzlies

Projected line: 178 points


Yesterday's game between Memphis and Houston had a really fun first half. Both teams were scoring in transition, the referees were having a tight criteria and Houston got a good number of free throw attempts. Then, in the second half, the game was much more physical and both teams struggled to score. In this particular case, Memphis had good offensive numbers for their style: 15 fast break points with 7-10 FG in transition and especially 58 points in the paint, with 23-31 FG at the rim. Memphis had their starters with big minutes as usual, with Conley 40 minutes, Marc 38 minutes and Gay 41 minutes! For tonight, the Grizzlies offense should expect some problems in the perimeter, as the Sixers are an excellent perimeter defense, so Conley, Allen and Gay should struggle offensively tonight.

With Brand out of tonight's game, Memphis will have an inside edge with Gasol and this is in fact the only clear edge of this game. Philadelphia will lack any kind of interior game without Brand, as in their last games they had 7-8 FG, 15-28 FG, 12-19 FG, 8-17 FG, 13-21 FG and 17-26 at the rim, with either low volume or bad shooting percentage. Memphis has a good defense in terms of pressure and they will create problems to the Sixers' outside game. So, both teams should struggle to have decent offensive outcomes tonight. Memphis had a nice transition game against the Rockets, but the Sixers defense is #4 in transition defense by allowing 1.04 PPP. With both teams likely to struggle on offense tonight, I'll be taking the under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 707/708 Under 181,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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