Monday, February 13, 2012

NBA Premium Play 02/12: Utah Jazz @ Memphis Grizzlies


NBA - 811 Utah Jazz @ 812 Memphis Grizzlies

Projected line: 192 points | Memphis by 3 points

This is a matchup that favors both offenses. Utah is a team who doesn't have good ball handlers and they are prone to commit some errors plus they are terrible at defending the rim by allowing 67% FG on this area this season, with 72% FG on their last 5 games! These two struggles will fit perfectly on the Grizzlies offense, as they need to score in transition and they shoot most of their shots near the basket, as the fact that they shoot 32,2% of their shots at the rim proves exactly this. On the other side, Utah has a loaded frontcourt and almost 20% of their plays are post up plays and Memphis is on the bottom of the league in defending this kind of plays, something easy to understand, as they have a really thin frontcourt, with Speights being the team's starting PF. Utah is coming from a home loss against the Thunder, where Millsap was the main reason for the team's bad performance, with a 4-15 FG shooting game. So, I expect a bounce back from him tonight, as he has a favorable matchup tonight against Speights, who is a terrible defensive player. I believe this game will be very offensive minded, with both teams being highly efficient on offense, while making this game a very close contest. Therefore, I'll take both Utah and the over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 811/812 Over 188,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 811 Utah Jazz (+6,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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