Saturday, February 18, 2012

NBA Premium Play 02/17: Golden State Warriors @ Oklahoma City Thunder


NBA - 811 Golden State Warriors @ 812 Oklahoma City Thunder

Projected line: Oklahoma City by 6 points

Both teams will be a bounce back spot for tonight. Oklahoma City lost at Houston in their last game and so, they will come fired up for tonight. However, they have some injury problems: Sefolosha is still out, Perkins will also be out for tonight, while Durant is probable, but he is ill. I believe Sefolosha's absence will be a huge blow for the Thunder tonight, as Oklahoma City has been ridiculously bad on their backcourt defense, as without him, the Thunder only have Westbrook + Harder + Cook playing big minutes on the backcourt and they are terrible defenders. So, this is why we have seen some players going absolutely nuts against them. In their last game, Kevin Martin, who was on a huge slump, shot 10-18 FG in a 32 points performance. And in the previous game of this series, Monta Ellis scored 48 points, while shooting 18-29 FG!

So, I expect the Thunder to struggle in defending the quick foot Warriors guards Monta + Curry + Nate! Without Perkins, Oklahoma City also loses some menacing power down low. The Thunder won both games at Golden State, but with both of them being ball games with the Thunder just winning down the stretch. The mindset of the team for this game will identical of the previous games: outscoring their opponents. However, the Warriors have a lot of offensive weapons as well and so, I expect them to make this game very competitive. I'll take the Warriors tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 811 Golden State Warriors (+9,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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