Monday, February 20, 2012

NBA Premium Play 02/19: Milwaukee Bucks @ New Jersey Nets


NBA - 815 Milwaukee Bucks @ 816 New Jersey Nets

Projected line: 188 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Milwaukee is coming from a game in Orlando, where they saw the Magic having a 17-0 run at the end of the game to stole them a win that seemed certain at one point. The Bucks struggled with their inside game, as they shot just 12-23 FG at the rim and 3-6 FG from 3-9 feet. They shoot a lot from the perimeter and when Orlando made an effort to stop their outside game, the Bucks had simply no offense. Gooden is doubtful for tonight and so, Milwaukee will have no inside game once again and they will need to shoot a lot from the perimeter. After a hot run, the Bucks are once again struggling with their ball movement, as they have dished less than 20 assists in their last 3 games. Besides that, their rebounding has been poor.

On the other side, the Nets are coming from a great win in Chicago yesterday, but where their starters played heavy minutes: Deron 42 minutes, Brooks 41 minutes, Humphries 44 minutes, Stevenson 33 minutes and Shelden 35 minutes! So, this will be a flat spot for them, especially on offense! The Nets also need a lot of their outside game to produce any kind of decent offense, as shown yesterday where they shot 10-22 from 3pts! However, today with tired legs, I expect them to heavily struggle from the perimeter. Considering the fact that they are a bad interior offensive team, 11-28 FG at the rim yesterday, the Nets are also headed to a poor offensive game today.

I expect both teams to struggle offensively tonight, with the Nets being mostly concerned about their defense. Note that Stevenson played big minutes yesterday, which means that coach Avery wants them to play defense or he will have put Morrow more minutes into the court. Therefore, I came up with a totals projection of just 188 points for this contest, low enough for me to take the under in here in a Double Dime Play!

NOTE: Spread line available also on Pinnacle, Betonline, Betus or Betphoenix

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 815/816 Under 195.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on The Greek

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