Sunday, January 29, 2012

NBA Premium Play 01/28: New York Knicks @ Houston Rockets

NBA - 505 New York Knicks @ 506 Houston Rockets

Projected lines: 198 points | Houston by 10 points


The Knicks are coming from a game in Miami last night, where as a team, they hit 18 of 43 threes, while hitting 12 of 41 two-pointers! Some of those 3pts, including made ones, were incredibly forced, but a lot of them came off from actual crisp ball movement plays and good, open looks, especially in the first half! Amare continued to struggle in getting easy touches rolling to the rim, but he still managed a few nice elbow jumpers and tough inside shots in the second half. I expect the Knicks to have today at Houston the same mindset and eventually, Amare will get better looks than he had last night at Miami, as the Heat has the #1 rim defense in the league!

On the other side, Houston will take advantage of the usual turnover problems from the Knicks and score in transition. The Rockets had an easy home win against the Wizards last night, even with a bad game from Lowry, with 1-7 FG! Houston struggled with 1-9 FG on P&R Ball Handler plays, but they did quite well on transition, offensive rebounds, cuts and spot up plays! With a better game from the backcourt and with with Kevin Martin back, I expect the Rockets offense to do a lot of damage today! The Rockets guards rotation is much better than the Knicks' backcourt rotation, who is lacking depth and who is on a tough spot for tonight!

The pace of this game will surely be high, considering the last few games of both teams and even though the Knicks will their kamikaze style will make some treys, they will also give a lot of chances to the Rockets to score on transition plays, something Houston will do with ease, with Lowry coordinating the well balanced offense of the Rockets. Therefore, I expect a comfortable win for Houston tonight, in a game where the pace will be high and where both teams will at least get some offense production. So, I will take both Houston and the over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 505/506 Over 192 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 506 Houston Rockets (-6.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

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