Sunday, January 22, 2012

NBA Premium Play 01/21: Minnesota Timberwolves @ Utah Jazz

NBA - 519 Minnesota Timberwolves @ 520 Utah Jazz

Projected line: Utah by 4 points


Minnesota is carrying a lot of momentum after their last night's upset road win at LA against the Clippers. The Wolves are 3-0 on their last 3 games and they are also a tough matchup for Utah, so the current line seems too big for this contest, as the Jazz aren't good enough to deserve such high line. The Wolves had played a back to back to back spot, then had 2 days off, before playing at New Orleans, where Rubio played 44min, Ridnour 40min and Love 42min. After that, they played a back to back game at Atlanta, on a terrible spot for them, and they almost won the game.

The Wolves are a tough matchup for the Jazz and Millsap won't have an easy game tonight, as he will struggle to go head to head against Love and also Darko will be a problem to Big Al due to Milicic's size advantage. Minnesota will also have a big edge in the PG position with Rubio against Harris, who has been struggling with a stomach flu.

Minnesota's defense is very underrated and I believe they can handle the frontcourt of Utah in a very decent way, as allowing just 63% FG at the rim is a good mark for a team like the Wolves. Already last night, they allowed the Clippers to shoot just 10-17 FG at the rim and 0-6 FG from 4-9 feet!

I expect the in-form Wolves to make this game really close, as they are a tough matchup for the Jazz, due to their size advantage in the frontcourt and their superiority in the PG position. Therefore, I'll take Minnesota tonight!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 519 Minnesota Timberwolves (+7) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

No comments:

Post a Comment