Thursday, January 19, 2012

NBA Premium Play 01/18: Detroit Pistons @ Minnesota Timberwolves

NBA - 713 Detroit Pistons @ 714 Minnesota Timberwolves

Projected line: Minnesota by 12 points
This is a really horrible spot for Detroit, as they have been travelling from Detroit to Houston and now to Minnesota over the last days. Yesterday, the Pistons were ridiculous against a very tired team of the Rockets and today, they will struggle even more, as Minnesota has in them a great matchup. According to the mySynergy numbers, you can score against the Pistons quite easily on isolation plays (23rd), with the pick-and-roll ball handler (21st), in the post (19th), with the PnR roller (21st), spot-up shooters (27th) and in transition (30th). Other than transition situations, the Wolves are in the top half in points per possession on all of those other situations.

Therefore, I expect Minnesota to have a very easy win tonight, especially as they have a much better spot than Detroit for tonight. I'll be taking the Wolves in here.


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 714 Minnesota Timberwolves (-8,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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